College football starts early this week as the Arkansas State Red Wolves host the Appalachian State Mountaineers at 8 p.m. ET Tuesday. Both squads are coming off byes and should be well-rested. While the Mountaineers crushed South Alabama 52-7 in their most recent game, the Red Wolves lost a heart-breaker to Georgia Southern 28-21 on a last-minute reverse. But it's still early in Sun Belt play and the winner could find itself in a strong position to claim a conference title. The Mountaineers opened as seven-point road favorites and now are laying 8.5 in the latest Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State odds. Before you make any Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State picks, check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. The advanced computer model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors. The model has been red-hot on its top-rated college football picks this season, nailing four in Week 5 to improve its record to 49-36 overall. That run included correctly calling the under 69.5 and Penn State (+3.5) against the spread in the Nittany Lions' huge showdown vs. Ohio State. Anybody who has followed it is way up. Now, the model has simulated Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State 10,000 times to produce a strong against-the-spread pick that hits more than 50 percent of the time. This pick is available only at SportsLine. The model knows the Mountaineers have been utterly dominant since their Week 1 loss by a touchdown at Penn State. They have outscored their opponents by a staggering 169-23 margin and haven't yielded double-digit points since Week 1. Because Appalachian State has built up such big leads in its past three games, quarterback Zac Thomas has been more game-manager than game-winner. But the sophomore signal caller is completing more than 68 percent of his passes for 896 yards and eight touchdowns. Appalachian State running back Jalin Moore is the offensive dynamo. Last week, he racked up 123 yards and two touchdowns. For the season, he's gouging defenses for 6.6 yards per carry and has five scores. Just because Appalachian State has steamrolled the competition doesn't mean it will cover Tuesday. Arkansas State quarterback Justice Hansen has thrown for 1,329 yards and 11 touchdowns for the season. For his career, he has eclipsed the 8,000-yard mark and has 65 touchdowns. In his last start against Georgia Southern, the senior was a dazzling 38 for 50 for 376 yards and a TD. Hansen has become a more active runner over the previous few games, including against the Eagles, when he ran it in from four yards out in a clutch fourth-quarter touchdown that tied the game. Who wins Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State? And which side covers in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the computer model that has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors.